IS THE CURE WORSE THAN THE DISEASE? Should we continue lockdown? Should we open-up? How can we safely open-up? This is the endless COVID-19 debate among public officials, citizens, business, health and medical personnel, and researchers. This debate has been fueled by the lack of COVID -19 planning models which can accurately predict the spread of this disease and determine the RISKs associated with various reopening strategies. Our COVID-19 DECISION MODEL is different and can do so.
The CDM is a sophisticated tool, implementing a Monte Carlo analysis engine utilizing an agent-based discrete time-modeling approach that correlates well with actual COVID-19 data. The input parameters are matched to data that describe demographics and disease characteristics. The CDM tool is unique and can model the dynamics of a virus spread from beginning to end, allowing us to gauge the effects of mitigation measures over time. We can assess the risk of a second wave or the vulnerability of a community to reinfection. Our data-driven dynamic analysis approach can be easily calibrated against known data and provide insights which can help shape reasonable public policy.
Recent Posts
- Understanding the California Winter Surge January 27, 2021
- COVID-19 Vaccines: Are They Safe for Everyone? January 19, 2021
- Therapies for COVID-19 January 10, 2021
- COVID-19 Vaccines are Here December 30, 2020
- The Pros and Cons of Mask Usage October 18, 2020
- California Summer Lockdowns Have Been Ineffective September 15, 2020
- Lockdown Persecution: Religion is Being Vilified and Deemed Nonessential August 29, 2020
- Hydroxychloroquine: Wonder Drug or Snake Oil? August 28, 2020
- Hawaii: Late Summer Surge August 23, 2020
- What’s Driving Excess Deaths for 25 to 44 Year Olds? August 16, 2020
- Sweden: Death Rates Now Match Yearly Average August 15, 2020
- Florida: Turning the Corner August 14, 2020
- Texas: Over the Hump August 11, 2020
- Arizona: Summer Analysis Update August 2, 2020
- Florida: Summer Analysis Update July 29, 2020
- California: Roadmap for a Balanced Recovery July 24, 2020
- Reported versus Actual Date of Death July 19, 2020
- Rational Policy Strategies for the COVID-19 Pandemic July 12, 2020
- Florida: Second Wave Analysis July 9, 2020
- Bergamo Italy 57% Exposure Rate Analysis June 30, 2020
- Arizona: Second Wave Infection Analysis June 29, 2020
- Active Virus versus Antibody Testing June 15, 2020
- Key Metrics for Recovery: Actual Disease Vectors June 2, 2020
- NYC June Assessment: Ready to Open Up! May 31, 2020
- An Age Based Recovery Strategy May 24, 2020
- Are We Closer to Herd Immunity than Most Experts Say? May 20, 2020
- Georgia: Proceed with Caution May 9, 2020
- Making Houses of Worship Safer than the Supermarket May 9, 2020
- Controlling the Second Wave May 7, 2020
- It’s time for New York City to get back to work. May 4, 2020
- LA County Recovery Model May 3, 2020
- Sweden, Denmark, and Norway: Who’s Mitigation Strategy is Better? May 2, 2020
- Los Angeles County April 21, 2020
- Nebraska Case Study April 15, 2020
- Sweden Case Study April 15, 2020
- When did the NY infection start? April 13, 2020
- San Diego County Case Study April 13, 2020
- Do we know the current risk of infection in NY? April 12, 2020
- New York State Case Study April 12, 2020