Analysis and Insight for Effective Policy Management
Bergamo Italy 57% Exposure Rate Analysis Let's look at special case high density outbreak, like the Bergamo region of northern Italy, approximately 1 million people. Here we see an elderly demographic, high connectivity culture and a high seed rate via...Read More
[08/02/20 Update: This analysis has been refreshed. See our recent post: Arizona: Summer Analysis Update] [07/31/20 Update: Our analysis for Arizona will be refreshed with our improved algorithm and latest data. Our estimate of increased activity in June was low and...Read More
George Delgado, MD There are two types of COVID-19 testing. Molecular testing verifies that a person has an active virus infection. Antibody testing verifies that a person has been exposed to the virus at some time in the past. These...Read More
There are several important metrics to understand where a community, state or region is with the spread of the COVID-19: The true percentage of the population infected and those who are infectious: I(t). The rate of change of the infection...Read More